A disturbing new trend
Posted: Thu Sep 28, 2006 1:46 pm
Has anyone else noticed that opinion polls in the U.S. are more divergent then they have been historically. This could just be my imagination but after the exit poll discrepancies from the last election, I've been eager to see how this vote plays out and it already looks as if media outlets are trying to cast doubt on numbers showing democrats leading.
i.e. http://www.drudgereport.com/flash2.htm
WARNING: November Races May Not Be As Close As They Appear
Thu Sep 28 2006 08:00:56 ET
Democratic pollsters are pushing lots of polls that show second- and third-tier candidates performing surprisingly well. If most of these challengers win, the Democrats will gain 30 or 40 House seats.
Obviously, that’s unlikely. Extremely unlikely, writes Stuart Rothenberg in fresh editions of ROLL CALL.
Rothenberg: "Count me as skeptical, and not only because most of these poll memos contain the dreaded “and when voters were read short descriptions about the candidates” second ballot that allegedly measures a challenger’s fundamental strength. If wishes were horses, beggars would ride..."
"Well, I’ve seen that message, in one way or another, in almost every Democratic polling memo that comes across my desk. They almost always cite Bush’s standing. They almost all argue that voters want change or are dissatisfied with the direction of the country.
"And they are right, but only so far."
Usually polls are pretty close but I'm seeing partisan companies putting out highly contrasting numbers. Is this as set up to try and hide electronic vote rigging?
i.e. http://www.drudgereport.com/flash2.htm
WARNING: November Races May Not Be As Close As They Appear
Thu Sep 28 2006 08:00:56 ET
Democratic pollsters are pushing lots of polls that show second- and third-tier candidates performing surprisingly well. If most of these challengers win, the Democrats will gain 30 or 40 House seats.
Obviously, that’s unlikely. Extremely unlikely, writes Stuart Rothenberg in fresh editions of ROLL CALL.
Rothenberg: "Count me as skeptical, and not only because most of these poll memos contain the dreaded “and when voters were read short descriptions about the candidates” second ballot that allegedly measures a challenger’s fundamental strength. If wishes were horses, beggars would ride..."
"Well, I’ve seen that message, in one way or another, in almost every Democratic polling memo that comes across my desk. They almost always cite Bush’s standing. They almost all argue that voters want change or are dissatisfied with the direction of the country.
"And they are right, but only so far."
Usually polls are pretty close but I'm seeing partisan companies putting out highly contrasting numbers. Is this as set up to try and hide electronic vote rigging?
